Vox populi. On Forecasting Elections with Twitter - PhDData

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Vox populi. On Forecasting Elections with Twitter

The thesis was published by Sanders, E.P., in January 2023, Radboud University Nijmegen.

Abstract:

We collectively produce huge numbers of Tweets on pretty much any topic, including politics. These big data can be used by researchers to predict the outcome of elections. The Vox Populi project explored the extent to which this is possible and how this process can be optimised.

While reasonable predictions seem possible in individual elections, it turns out to be impossible to create a model to make predictions for five national Dutch elections that are as accurate as traditional polls.



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